6: Advanced Forecasting Techniques
📊 Module 6: Advanced Forecasting Techniques 1. Tutorial: Beyond Basic Forecasting Basic forecasting relies on historical averages and seasonality. Advanced forecasting goes further by incorporating statistical models, AI, and external drivers to improve accuracy. Advanced Methods Time-Series Modeling (ARIMA, Holt-Winters) : Captures trends, seasonality, and random fluctuations. Regression Analysis : Links call volume to external factors (marketing campaigns, billing cycles, product launches). Machine Learning Models : Neural networks or ensemble methods that detect complex, non-linear patterns. Scenario Forecasting : Building multiple forecasts based on “what-if” assumptions (e.g., outage, promotion, holiday). Benefits Higher accuracy in volatile environments. Ability to anticipate demand shifts from external events. Continuous learning and refinement with AI-driven models. 2. Scenario: Product Launch Forecast Your company is launching a new smartphone next week...